This article presents a particular method of analysis and family of social theories I find important. It also builds on the concept of expected value. I. Jane and The Canyon Jane is an explorer working her way through a forest. She has gear, food, and a general direction to travel, but the obstacles she will […]
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Expected Value: why the Singapore Summit was a good thing
This has been a whirlwind week for followers of US and world politics. Out of all these stories, the biggest was probably the Singapore summit between Kim Jong Un and Donald Trump (although the Czech President did call an impromptu press conference to burn a giant pair of underwear). The summit has highlighted the hypocrisy […]
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When analyzing politics I think largely in terms of expected value. This is a really useful tool I recommend for anyone interested in logical thinking, and it comes up in how I write on this blog. This post is a crash course in the subject. In mathematics, specifically probability, the expected value of something is […]
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